Revenue forecast (recognized vs billed)
Translate bookings into recognized revenue across time given contract terms, ramp schedules and recognition policy.
varies by archetype
3The task exists in this business archetype but behaves differently. The note is the point of the edge: it must say how it differs, not merely that it does.
Take-rate businesses gross-bill the buyer and remit to the seller, so billed volume tracks GMV while recognised revenue is only the commission. Forecasting off billings overstates revenue by an order of magnitude; the forecast object is really a GMV model with a take-rate assumption on top.
Contracted ARR makes the base highly predictable, so the forecast reduces to renewal timing, ramp schedules and new-business landing. Deferred revenue absorbs the gap between billed and recognised, which means billings and revenue can diverge for several quarters without either being wrong.
Revenue is metered after the fact and is not contractually committed, so there is no bookings-to-revenue waterfall to build. The forecast is a consumption model with a credit burn-down, and its accuracy degrades sharply beyond one quarter because customers can simply stop using the product without churning.
produces
1The modeling object or downloadable deliverable the task creates.
consumes
2A canonical data object the task needs as input.
governed by
1An accounting or regulatory standard that constrains the task.
owned by
1The business-partner org unit accountable for the task.
runs in
1The end-to-end shared-services process the task sits inside.
serves
1The verb-level intent the task exists to satisfy.
Relationships pointing at this node.
depends on
1A hard sequencing dependency: the target cannot correctly start until the source is done. The note gives the reason.
Recognised revenue is derived from bookings via ramp and recognition timing, so the bookings view has to land first.
performed by
1A job title someone actually holds does this work.
Unresolved from the source registry
not yet modelledFree-text strings from the source spreadsheet that have not been resolved to a node. Preserved verbatim so nothing is silently dropped — these are backlog, not content.
Produces: Bookings-to-revenue waterfall